Saturday, December 30, 2006

Dec. 30 -- VOTING FOR THE HALL

In last Sunday's News Journal, my friend and colleague, Martin Frank, wrote an excellent column about how the strong steroids suspicions surrounding Mark McGwire, Sammy Sosa, Rafael Palmeiro and Barry Bonds would prevent him from voting any of them into the Hall of Fame, if he had a vote.

He doesn't, and neither do I.

Regardless of what you may think of sportswriters -- or the media, in general -- I can assure you the privilege of voting for the Hall of Fame isn't something any of us take lightly. That's why requirements for Hall voters begin with 10 seasons of covering Major League Baseball. I know several voters personally, and most of them spend weeks weighing the qualifications of Hall of Fame candidates before casting their vote. I don't know anybody who is casual about this process.

Personally, I believe in innocence until proven guilty. But the Hall of Fame rewards character as much as on-field performance. The behavior of McGwire and Sosa at the Congressional hearing and Bonds' ongoing behavior would cost them my Hall vote, at least on the first ballot. It's my personal protest of baseball's Steroid Era. After that, I'd have to make a decision.

McGwire hit 49 home runs as a rookie in 1987, and he did average 33 home runs per season over the next five years. He was injured for most of 1993 and '94, and after bouncing back with 39 homers and 90 RBIs in 1995, his career really took flight in 1996. Beginning that year, he hit 52, 58, 70 and 65 home runs and had 113, 123, 147 and 147 RBIs. After that, his body broke down, and maybe now, we know why. If you don't think McGwire was a Hall of Famer before 1996, are four seasons of Ruthian production (regardless of the cause of such production) enough to vote for him? I'm not so sure.

Believe it or not, Sosa had more prolonged success than Big Mac. During his peak four years (1998-2001), Sosa had 66, 63, 50 and 64 homers and 158, 141, 138 and 160 RBIs. But from 1995-97, he averaged 37 homers and 113 RBIs, and from 2002-03, he averaged 44/105. Overall, that's nine years with an average of 49/127. Still, even if you somehow dismiss the steroids rumors, Sosa was still caught corking his bat. Should a cheater be allowed in the Hall of Fame?

Based strictly on performance, Bonds has the best Hall of Fame case, steroids or not. If it's true that he didn't start using steroids until 1998, Bonds had Hall-worthy credentials long before that. But induction in Cooperstown requires a review of his entire career, so what do we make of his post-1998 performance?

***

One word on Barry Zito, and the 7-year, $136 million contract he signed with the Giants this week.

Wow.

After seeing mediocre pitchers like Ted Lilly, Gil Meche and Jeff Suppan receive contracts worth $10-11 million a year, I thought Zito may get at least $18 million annually. But seven years is a lot (too much, actually) to give a pitcher, even one as durable as Zito.

***

Happy New Year, everyone.

Saturday, December 23, 2006

Dec. 23 -- ZITO TO METS?

All along, the Mets and Rangers were considered the major players for prized free-agent left-hander Barry Zito.

The Rangers appear to have bowed out of the race.

Texas pulled off a startling trade today with the Chicago White Sox, landing hard-throwing right-hander Brandon McCarthy for 21-year-old lefty prospect Jon Danks and two other minor leaguers. You'll recall the White Sox dealt Freddy Garcia to the Phils at the winter meetings for the sole purpose of clearing a rotation spot for McCarthy. Texas is also negotiating with free-agent left-hander Mark Mulder, Zito's former teammate in Oakland. It no longer seems the bullpen-rich Rangers have any interest in trading for Jon Lieber, the Phillies' superfluous right-hander.

"I don't want to get into specifics about our discussions [with Zito's agent, Scott Boras] other than to say that I'm not terribly encouraged about our chances," Rangers GM Jon Daniels said on a conference call. "Regardless of whether or not we felt we were going to be able to sign somebody like Barry, we would have made this deal. This is about the future with Brandon."

Zito likely will get a five- or six-year contract, worth at least $16 million per season. A few days ago, a Mets contingent led by GM Omar Minaya visited Zito in California.

Dec. 23 -- THOME'S IDENTITY STOLEN

According to this rather bizarre report in the Chicago Tribune, it appears former Phillies first baseman Jim Thome may be the victim of identity theft. A 38-year-old man was arrested with the IDs of nearly 90 baseball players, including Thome. Mets outfielder Moises Alou and pitching ace Pedro Martinez were also among the potential victims.

Also, two players with major-league experience may comprise the Phillies' middle infield at Class AAA Ottawa next season. The Phils have signed 33-year-old Lou Collier and 29-year-old Brent Abernathy to minor-league contracts. Collier is a .241 hitter over parts of eight seasons in the majors, including 32 games with the Phillies in 2004. Abernathy is a .244 hitter in 232 major-league games with Tampa Bay (2001-03), Kansas City (2003) and Minnesota (2005).

Friday, December 22, 2006

Dec. 22 -- HAPPY HOLIDAYS, FROM CHARLIE MANUEL

Got my annual Christmas/New Year's card from Charlie Manuel in the mail today, and I can assure you, this is nothing he bought at Hallmark.

The card reads "2007 Let's Make Happen!" and features a monthly calendar for the year. Charlie circled October, when he undoubtedly hopes the Phillies still will be playing. Along the bottom, there's a vintage quote from Yogi Berra: "It's never happened in World Series history - and it hasn't happened since."

Thursday, December 21, 2006

Dec. 21 -- BARAJAS IN, CONINE OUT ...

... but what about Chris Coste, you ask? Good question.

Well, the Rod Barajas signing relegates Coste to being a third-string catcher, and by itself, appears to hurt his chance of making the team. But the Conine deal (to Cincinnati for two minor leaguers) seemingly enhances Coste's value as a right-handed pinch-hitter. Asked tonight if Conine's departure solidifies a roster spot for Coste, GM Pat Gillick (pictured) wouldn't take the bait.

"I can't use the word 'solidify,'" Gillick said. "We need a left-hand hitter, and the fact that [newly acquired OF Jayson] Werth can catch some, with [Carlos] Ruiz, Barajas and Coste, there's some flexibility there."

Translation: Coste isn't being guaranteed anything, even though after batting .328 last season, he should be. Once again, there's a lot of time before the season starts. But to me, Coste's job isn't in much jeopardy. The Phils will have five players on the bench, and right now, they have only Werth, Ruiz (or Barajas) and IF Abraham Nunez. That leaves two spots for Coste and the lefty hitter Gillick is looking for.

So, breathe easy, Chris Coste fans. At least for now.

Wednesday, December 20, 2006

Dec. 20 -- WHAT ABOUT COSTE?

Thanks to everyone for the blog comments and e-mails about Chris Coste. I'll ask GM Pat Gillick and others about Coste's status, as soon as the Phils finalize their deal with Rod Barajas, which should be any day.

For now, here's my take:

There should be no doubt Coste can play in the majors. His performance in spring training (.463, three homers, 11 RBIs) was one thing. To back it up by batting .328 with seven homers and 32 RBIs in 65 regular-season games was impressive. Coste is also a super guy, probably the best quote in the clubhouse, which makes him easy to like from where I stand.

Even with Barajas, there's a place on this team for Coste. Since he was never regarded as a prospect, one of things he's always done well is pinch-hit. After doing that for most of his own playing career, Charlie Manuel knows how difficult pinch-hitting can be (just ask Alex Gonzalez or David Dellucci). Coste, who will be 34 by Opening Day, also plays three positions (C, 1B, 3B), versatility that increases his value to the Phillies. If only he was a relief pitcher, too.

Unfortunately, he may have to win a job in spring training. There are five spots on the bench, and barring a trade, four are taken by Abraham Nunez, Jeff Conine, Jayson Werth and backup catcher Carlos Ruiz. The Phils are still looking for a lefty bat, and Coste hits right-handed, which doesn't bode well for him.

But there's still a lot of time before Opening Day. Somehow, I can't see Coste not being on this team.

Please keep the comments and e-mails coming, and happy holidays to all!

Tuesday, December 19, 2006

Dec. 19 -- BARAJAS TO PHILLY

My best memory -- well, my only memory -- of Rod Barajas came in October 2001. I was watching Game 5 of the World Series when a backup catcher I had never heard of stepped to the plate in the fifth inning for the Arizona Diamondbacks and cracked a solo home run off Mike Mussina.

Nice to meet you, Rod.

Well, five years later, the Phillies are on the verge of signing Barajas. I spoke for a few minutes tonight with assistant GM Ruben Amaro Jr. and he confirmed the Phils have been talking to Barajas and are "hoping to get something done in the short-term." My guess is it will be a two-year contract worth a total of about $5 million, and Barajas will at least split time with 27-year-old rookie Carlos Ruiz.

Personally, I think Barajas is a good addition. He's only 31, and just two seasons removed from hitting a career-high 21 homers and driving in 60 runs in 120 games for the Texas Rangers. I can't see him playing that many games for the Phillies next season, unless Ruiz is a dud. And don't expect major offensive numbers -- he has never batted higher than .256 in a season. But he would be the veteran catcher the Phils lack now that Mike Lieberthal has joined the Dodgers.

By the way, Barajas wasn't originally in Arizona's lineup for Game 5. But Damian Miller was scratched with a strained right calf. Barajas finished 2-for-5 and threw out Alfonso Soriano at second base. The Yankees still won the game, 3-2, when Scott Brosius hit a game-tying two-run homer in the ninth inning off Byung-Hyun Kim. It was the second straight game in which Kim had given up the lead in the ninth, prompting me to believe, even if Curt Schilling doesn't, that Yankee Stadium is filled with aura and mystique.

Of course, Arizona won that stirring Series in seven games -- with Barajas back on the bench for Games 6 and 7 in Arizona.

Dec. 19 -- PROVING HIS WERTH

The Phillies have added to their bench by signing OF Jayson Werth to a one-year contract. This story should be posted on www.delawareonline.com later today, and I'll have a more complete story in Wednesday's paper.

By SCOTT LAUBER
The News Journal
When the Orioles picked Jayson Werth in the first round of the 1997 draft, Pat Gillick was their general manager.
A decade -- and one debilitating wrist injury -- later, Werth finally will get to play for Gillick.
Werth, a 27-year-old outfielder, has signed a one-year contract with the Phillies. Financial terms were not immediately disclosed. He will be used primarily as a right-handed hitter off the bench and join an outfield that includes Pat Burrell, Aaron Rowand, Shane Victorino and Jeff Conine.
Two surgeries on his left wrist kept Werth on the Los Angeles' Dodgers disabled list for the duration of the 2006 season. He was slated to be the Dodgers' starting left fielder in 2005 but was hit on the wrist by an A.J. Burnett fastball in the first spring-training game.
Werth was limited to 337 at-bats in 102 games and batted only .234 with seven home runs and 43 RBIs. His breakout season came in 2004 when, in only 89 games, he batted .262 with 16 homers and 47 RBIs for the Dodgers.
The Dodgers, not convinced Werth's wrist was fully healed, didn't tender him a contract last week, making him a free agent. Werth told his hometown newspaper, the State Journal-Register of Springfield, Ill., that his rehabilitation is progressing slowly.
"I'm just in the beginning stages of actually swinging a baseball bat," he said. "I'm still healing. I've got to be careful. It will be two years March 1 since I got hit. I can't even think about something that would put me in jeopardy to re-injure it."
Werth is expected to be ready by spring training.
Complete coverage in Wednesday's News Journal and at www.delawareonline.com.
Contact Scott Lauber at slauber@delawareonline.com.

Monday, December 18, 2006

Dec. 18 -- SWANN SIGNS

He wasn't among the 19 non-roster invitees to major-league spring training, but last week, the Phillies did sign St. Mark's High and Delaware State product Pedro Swann (at left in picture) to a minor-league contract. Swann, 36, likely will open next season at Class AAA Ottawa.

I'm told that several people in the Phils organization became big fans of Swann last season after he signed with the club after opening the year in the Mexican League. Swann batted .365 (35-for-96) with four homers and 25 RBIs in 25 games for Class AA Reading before being promoted to Class AAA Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, where he batted .282 (33-for-117) with two homers and 14 RBIs in 28 games.

Also, Cole Hamels is expected to appear at the Phillies' winter tour event in Reading, Pa., on Thurs., Jan. 25. The dinner will be held at the Sheraton Reading, and tickets are $55 per person. There's no word yet on whether the Phillies will make a winter tour stop in Delaware, although they have in past years.

Friday, December 15, 2006

Dec. 15 -- HALL OF INFAMY

You can vote here for new Phillies pitcher Adam Eaton in an AOL poll of the all-time dumbest sports injuries. Eaton is nominated for an embarrasing mishap in 2001 when, as a member of the San Diego Padres, he accidentally stabbed himself in the stomach with a paring knife while trying to open the plastic security wrap on a DVD.

Seriously.

You can't make this stuff up.

But Eaton isn't a lock to win the "award." Other nominees include former Redskins QB Gus Frerotte for ramming his head into a concrete wall and giving himself a concussion, former Blue Jays OF Glenallen Hill for sleepwalking into a glass table and down a flight of stairs, and my personal favorite, OF Sammy Sosa for sneezing so hard during a conversation with reporters that he began having back spasms so severe he had to go on the disabled list.

I guess some athletes really are allergic to the media.

Dec. 15 -- GLOOMY PROSPECTS

Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus has released his evaluation of the Phils' farm system. It's a subscription-only service, but for free, you can read about the top three, right-handed pitchers Carlos Carrasco and Kyle Drabek and center fielder Michael Bourn.

For the most part, I agree with Goldstein's assessment that, since Cole Hamels graduated to the majors, the Phils' farm system lacks a "can't-miss" prospect. Also, most of their top prospects are in the lower levels of the minors.

Here's the complete top-10 list, with their 2006 minor league stats.

Excellent prospects
None
Very Good prospects
1. Carrasco: 12-6, 2.26 ERA at Lakewood (low A)
2. Drabek: 1-3, 7.71 ERA at Gulf Coast League (rookie)
Good prospects
3. Bourn: .277, 5 HR, 41 RBI, 45 SB at Reading (AA) and Scranton/WB (AAA)
4. Josh Outman, lhp: 14-6, 2.95 ERA at Lakewood
5. J.A. Happ, lhp: 10-9, 2.69 ERA at Clearwater (high A), Reading, S/WB
Average prospects
6. Matt Maloney, lhp: 16-9, 2.03 ERA at Lakewood
7. Adrian Cardenas, ss: .318, 2 HR, 21 RBI, 13 SB at Gulf Coast League
8. D'Arby Myers, cf: .313, 2 HR, 13 RBI, 11 SB at Gulf Coast League
9. Scott Mathieson, rhp: 10-3, 3.40 ERA at Reading, S/WB
10. Greg Golson, cf: .233, 13 HR, 48 RBI, 30 SB at Lakewood, Clearwater

Thoughts?

Dec. 15 -- LIVINGSTON, I PRESUME

Bobby Livingston, we hardly knew ya.

Citing a rule that prohibits a team from claiming a player off waivers only to trade him to another team, Major League Baseball has voided the Devil Rays' acquisiton of Livingston earlier this week. Subsequently, the Rays' trade of the 24-year-old lefty to the Phillies for cash on Tuesday has also been nullified. The Reds have been allowed to claim Livingston off waivers from the Mariners.

Based on Livington's 2006 numbers (8-11, 4.59 ERA at Class AAA Tacoma, 18.00 ERA in three appearances for the Mariners), losing him isn't exactly a crushing blow to the Phils.

Thursday, December 14, 2006

Dec. 14 -- BACK TO NY

In case you missed it, LHP Dave Williams has signed a one-year, $1.25 million contract to stay with the Mets. Williams, a Caesar Rodney High product, is preparing to compete for the final spot in the Mets' starting rotation but says he's willing to be a long reliever, too.

“I’ve been a starter most of my career,” Williams told the New York Daily News. “The caliber of this team, you just have to try to contribute some way. If it’s in the bullpen, that’s fine.”

Williams, 27, went 5-4 with a 6.52 ERA last season between the Reds and Mets. The Mets acquired him for a minor leaguer on May 25. At the moment, the Mets' opening-day rotation looks like this:

1. Tom Glavine
2. Orlando Hernandez
3. John Maine
4. Oliver Perez
5. Dave Williams, Mike Pelfrey, Alay Soler.

Think they need Barry Zito in New York, or what?

Tuesday, December 12, 2006

Dec. 12 -- MEET J.A. HAPP

Back in high school in Peru, Ill., J.A. Happ became the all-time leading scorer for the basketball program at St. Bede Academy.

And he could pitch a little, too.

Happ, a 6-foot-6 left-hander, chose baseball over basketball and has become one of the fastest rising prospects in the Phillies' farm system since being drafted in the third round in 2004 out of Northwestern University. With the Phils poised to trade a starting pitcher, most likely right-hander Jon Lieber, in the coming weeks, Happ is among the top choices to get a spot start during the season if there's an injury in the starting rotation, a topic we explore in Tuesday's News Journal.

"Realistically, over the course of the year, I think we'll get Happ some innings at Triple-A, and I think he might be a viable candidate to come up [to Philadelphia] at some point," assistant GM Mike Arbuckle said last week.

Happ, 24, opened last season at Class A Clearwater and posted a 2.81 ERA in 13 starts. He was promoted to Class AA Reading, where he went 6-2 with a 2.65 ERA in 12 starts, before allowing one run in six innings and getting a victory in his lone Class AAA start.

According to a Baseball America scouting report, Happ has a deceptive delivery that keeps hitters from getting a good look at the ball as it leaves his hand and causes right-handers to swing late at his upper-80s fastball. He also throws a slider and changeup.

Dec. 12 -- MISSING FREDDY

While the Phils have finally arranged a media conference call with Freddy Garcia for 10:30 a.m. Tuesday, White Sox GM Kenny Williams (pictured) continues to get ripped in Chicago for trading the durable right-hander. We'll have a story on Garcia in Wednesday's News Journal, but in the meantime, here's a story from the Arlington Heights (Ill.) Daily Herald that should help convey the mood there.

In other news, the Brewers are planning to tender a contract to arbitration-eligible Kevin Mench. That doesn't mean the Newark native still can't be traded before the season starts, although the Phillies and Orioles are probably no longer candidates to deal for him.

Saturday, December 09, 2006

Dec. 9 -- HELLO, MY NAME IS SIMON (I THINK)

Here's a scouting report on Alfredo Simon, the hard-throwing reliever acquired by the Phillies in the Rule 5 draft. It comes from good friend, Doug Greenwald, the radio play-by-play announcer for Class AAA Fresno, where Simon pitched last season.

Simon had been the closer for the Giants at [Class AA] Norwich in 2005 for the first half, then made a starter. He started for Fresno in the early part of 2006, and went 0-6, never really had any sort of good game. He injured his right elbow in late May, and got put on the disabed list. Eventually when he was healthy enough to pitch, gets sent to [Class A] San Jose on rehab but remained there the rest of the season and didn't fare too well. His fastball can top in the mid-90's but he gave up too many hits, and had I think one 8-strikeout performance but that was it. He never really developed any sort of off-speed pitch.

It's worth noting Simon used to be in the Phils organization. Back then, he was believed to be 21 months younger than his real age and known as Carlos Cabrera (Alfredo Simon is his real name). The name/age discrepancies were discovered before he got traded to the Giants in 2004 for reliever Felix Rodriguez.

Dec. 9 -- FLOYD SPEAKS

Gavin Floyd talked to reporters in Chicago yesterday and gave this self-evaluation, which comes from the Associated Press.

"I worked real hard in the offseason, and I've progressed over the past couple of years. I've become myself after going off-track a little bit. Now, I know who I am as a pitcher."

Huh? Progressed? If anything, Floyd regressed, and his last act as a Phillie was posted a 5.59 ERA in the Arizona Fall League. Floyd is a nice guy, and I wish him luck with the White Sox, but he still has a long way to go.

Friday, December 08, 2006

Dec. 8 -- DOTEL TO KC

According to an Associated Press report, reliever Octavio Dotel is on the verge of signing a one-year, $5 million contract with the Kansas City Royals. The Phillies had targeted Dotel as a possible setup man and talked with the right-hander's agents during the winter meetings this week.

"I'm going to Kansas City for the physical and then the signing will be official," Dotel told a reporter in his native Dominican Republic.

Thursday, December 07, 2006

Dec. 7 -- ALL OVER

The lobby of the Swan & Dolphin is nearly empty now with most team executives, including those from the Phillies, having left for the airport. No other news from the Phillies camp today and I've been told probably not tomorrow, either. They're still euphoric over the Freddy Garcia trade.

So, what do you think? Any opinions out there on whether it was a good move?

Dec. 7 -- RULE 5 RESULTS

The Phils acquired three players in this morning's Rule 5 draft. Here's how it works: Each player costs the Phils $50,000 and must remain on the active 25-man roster for all of next season or be offered back to their original team for $25,000 apiece. Basically, the Phils want to evaluate these players in spring training, decide if they can help the team, and if not, cut them loose.

Here's a look at the players, plus a scouting report from assistant GM Mike Arbuckle.

ALFREDO SIMON
RHP, 6-4, 230, 25 years old
2006 stats: 2-10, 6.62 ERA, 28 games (17 starts), 88-1/3 innings, 119 hits, 33 walks, 70 K, for Class AAA Fresno and Class AA San Jose (Giants)
Arbuckle: He's a kid we had (until they traded him to the Giants for Felix Rodriguez a few years ago). He's been throwing really well in winter ball. Maybe he's starting to put things together. We view him, ultimately, as a reliever. He's a power-arm guy who has a chance to blow smoke for a couple innings. (He's been throwing 98 mph in winter ball in the Dominican Republic).

JIM WARDEN
RHP, 6-7, 195, 27 years old
2006 stats: 5-2, 2.90 ERA, 55 games, 59 innings, 35 hits, 29 walks, 47 K, for Class AA Akron (Indians)
Arbuckle: He's a 6-7 sidearmer. We took him because he's a different-looking type of guy, kind of like a Chad Bradford. He has good velocity and heavy sink on his fastball.

RYAN BUDDE
C, 5-11, 205, 27 years old
2006 stats: .233, 8 HR, 33 RBI, 72 G, 15 2B, 55 K, 22 walks, .738 OPS for Class AAA Salt Lake City (Angels)
Arbuckle: He's a catcher, and we wanted to draft him for inventory. He doesn't have much with the bat, but he was an above-average arm and he's a solid defensive receiver.

Dec. 7 -- WHAT THEY'RE SAYING

Thought you might enjoy another opinion on the Freddy Garcia trade. Here's a column by venerable baseball writer Phil Rogers in today's Chicago Tribune.

Dec. 7 -- GARCIA IN; WHAT NEXT?


Good morning all. As you know by now, or are finding out as you awaken today, the Phillies completed a trade late last night with the White Sox for RHP Freddy Garcia. It's a huge triumph for the Phils, who had struck out earlier in the off-season in their pursuits of free-agent slugger Alfonso Soriano and setup man Joe Borowski and failed to re-sign LHP Randy Wolf.

This time, GM Pat Gillick got his man.

Garcia, 31, is a workhorse. As you'll see here in his complete career stats, he has pitched at least 201 innings and made at least 31 starts in each of the last six seasons. To say that manager Charlie Manuel was beaming during the announcement of the deal at about 11 p.m. last night would be an understatement. He was practically giddy as he said, "I think we picked ourselves up and ace." Garcia will make $10 million in 2007, then hit the free-agent market.

About an hour later, a Philly radio station called to ask if I'd go on the air and offer my impressions of the trade. Good deal, I said, not only because they got a solid starter without having to relinquish CF Aaron Rowand, but also for the flexibility it now gives the Phillies in the marketplace.

When baseball GMs came here Sunday, everyone knew the White Sox had a surplus of starting pitching. And, in this market, that's a HUGE asset. Now, the Phillies have that excess. Only one big-name starter (Barry Zito) is left on the free-agent market, and judging by the deals given yesterday to Jason Schmidt and Ted Lilly, Zito could command upwards of $18 million per year for six years. That's a big commitment. Teams will be lining up to talk trade with the Phils, who have RHP Jon Lieber to offer and a need for two power arms at the back of the bullpen. It should be easier for them to acquire those relievers now.

This also sets up an interesting scenario in the outfield. All along, the Phils thought getting Garcia would cost them Rowand. But now, with Rowand still in the mix, might they more aggressively shop LF Pat Burrell? From what I could tell, there wasn't much interest in Burrell at the winter meetings here this week, but that could change. This market is, if nothing else, very fluid.

Either way, the Phils pulled off a coup last night. No wonder Charlie Manuel was grinning.

Later today: the Rule 5 draft will be underway in about an hour. I'll post updates when it's finished. After that, the Phils contingent will head home, and so will I. I'll check in a few more times this afternoon before leaving Orlando. Hopefully it's not too cold up north!

Wednesday, December 06, 2006

Dec. 6 -- ABOUT SCHMIDT

Jason Schmidt, one of the top pitchers available on the free-agent market, has agreed to a three-year, $47 million contract with the Dodgers. Makes you wonder how much money Barry Zito is going to get, doesn't it?

Also, more relevant to the Phillies: Another reliever is off the market after LHP Alan Embree has signed a two-year contract with the Athletics; the Indians put an end to the Joe Borowski situation by signing him to a one-year deal with a club option for 2008; as expected, OF David Dellucci finalized his three-year contract with the Indians.

Oh, and Barry Bonds is here. I guess his agent wanted him to make an appearance so that maybe some people will start talking about him.

Phils GM Pat Gillick (or one of his deputies, if he can't talk) will address reporters at 5 p.m. I'll have more after that.

Dec. 6 -- THOUGHTS ON VICTORINO

Got an e-mail today from a Phillies fan who wants to know if Shane Victorino (left) will hold up as an everyday outfielder, considering his slight build (5-9, 180). Well, manager Charlie Manuel addressed that issue this morning.

"I don't know about [Victorino playing] 162 [games] because I think the way he plays, he plays a lot like [Chase] Utley. Mentally and physically, he really goes all-out in a game, and I think that's one of the biggest questions I asked myself, if he can play 162 games. I think, right now, you'd probably look at him playing 135, 140."

That's why the Phils are pursuing another outfielder. A combination of Jeff Conine and someone like Ryan Church could help spell Victorino now and then. It's also why the Phils insist on getting an outfielder in return if they trade Aaron Rowand. And, the more I look at this free-agent market for relievers, the more I think the Phillies will have to make a deal to satisfy their bullpen needs.

Dec. 6 -- WHAT'S UP, CHUCK?

On my way back to the hotel lobby. Someone to keep an eye on today, I think, is free-agent RHP Octavio Dotel. The Phillies are interested in bringing him in as a setup man.

For now, though, here are some highlights from Phils manager Charlie Manuel's mid-morning press conference. The full transcript should be available online tonight, and I'll try to post as much of it as I can.

* According to Manuel, the Phils' No. 1 priority is replenishing the bullpen. He thinks they need two relievers and doesn't see either coming from inside the organization.

* On RHP Ryan Madson: "I said going into spring training last year I wanted to give him a role and keep him there, and I didn't want to bounce him around. I keep hearing people say this guy belongs in the bullpen. Well, I've kept him in the bullpen, and I like him. From the time I've been here, it's been kind of tough for him. He's inconsistent. I think he has the talent and ability to do it. I think it's just a matter of more preparation, more study and stuff like that, getting it done.

* On the many available free-agent relievers who have signed elsewhere: "I don't think we misread the market. I think we had a number in mind for those guys, what we could spend or basically what we wanted to spend on them. It wasn't like we were trying to get them cheap or nothing. But when somebody gets a tremendous contract, it seems like that jumps everybody else up. That's kind of what happened."

* On LF Pat Burrell: "I think, two years ago, he had a very solid year for us because he did better with guys in scoring position and in the clutch. But I look at him, and what's wrong with somebody being a .270 or .280 guy with 35 homers and 120 RBIs. That's a pretty good player. That's more than an average major league player. ... Any time you take three strikes, or take a third strike, I want Pat swinging the bat. He takes a lot of called strike threes, and that shows that the ball gets up on him quick. Those are things he can definitely improve on."

Dec. 6 -- DAY 3: TURNING TO CHURCH?

Just got back from a luncheon (chicken and pasta) with Phils manager Charlie Manuel. Not much to report on the trade front, except that the Phillies are still talking. So much so, in fact, that GM Pat Gillick has laryngitis.

Stop laughing. I'm serious.

One move that could be imminent is a trade with the Nationals for OF Ryan Church, who basically would replace David Dellucci as a left-handed-hitting spare outfielder. Church, 28, batted .276 with 10 homers and 35 RBIs in only 71 games last season. He angered Nationals officials when he refused their request to play winter ball in Mexico.

"He had nothing to prove down there," Church's agent, Jeff Borris, told the Washington Post. "All his statistics add up to one fine season. He needs someone to give him 500 at-bats [in a season] and I think we'll see what he can do."

The Nationals are looking for a pitching prospect in return for Church. Gavin Floyd, perhaps?

Tuesday, December 05, 2006

Dec. 5 -- DAY 2 LEFTOVERS

Some notes that didn't make the cut for Wednesday's paper ...

* Believe him or not, GM Pat Gillick said he's not itching to trade RHP Gavin Floyd (pictured), even though the former first-round pick has been wretched in back-to-back seasons and struggled last month in the Arizona Fall League. "I don't think he needs a fresh start," Gillick said. "I don't think there's any problem here. Some guys just take longer [to develop] than others." Amazingly, Gillick managed to say all that without his nose growing.

* Having lost free-agent OF David Dellucci to the Indians (the three-year, $11.5 million deal is expected to be announced Wednesday), Gillick said the Phillies may look to sign a left-handed-hitting, part-time outfielder. Also, should the Phils trade CF Aaron Rowand, it may open a roster spot for prospect Michael Bourn, who could see time as a pinch-runner or a spot starter whenever CF Shane Victorino needs a rest.

* Assistant GM Ruben Amaro Jr. was spotted today talking to agents from the Beverly Hills Sports Council. My guess: That group represents RHP Octavio Dotel, a reliever whom the Phillies have "some interest in," according to Gillick. Dotel (pictured) could be an option for the bullpen if RHP Joe Borowski passed his physical today and signs a one-year deal with the Indians on Wednesday.

* SS Adrian Cardenas, the Phillies' compensatory first-round pick (37th overall) in the June draft, was named High School Player of the Year today by Baseball America. Cardenas played for Monsignor Pace High in Opa Locka, Fla., and after signing a pro contract, he batted .318 in 154 at-bats in the rookie-level Gulf Coast League last summer.

* In non-Phillies-related news tonight, four-time Cy Young Award winner Greg Maddux agreed to a one-year, $10 million contract with San Diego, and OF J.D. Drew signed a five-year, $70 million deal with Boston. Both players are clients of agent Scott Boras, who also is seeking $10 million per year for oft-injured reliever Eric Gagne and may get the bidding for LHP Barry Zito over $100 million. I still say the Mets will win that sweepstakes, but the real winner will be Boras, who, once again, is earning his reputation as baseball's foremost agent.

Dec. 5 -- GETTING WARMER

GM Pat Gillick just held his daily briefing with reporters and said he's "probably more optimistic" than yesterday that the Phils will be able to trade for a pitcher. He also said the Phils are engaged in trade talks with three teams.

Then, a few minutes later, Gillick and his inner circle were spotted meeting in a corner of the lobby with Brewers GM Doug Melvin and assistant Gord Ash.

The latest Phils-Brewers rumor centers on RHP Jon Lieber (to Milwaukee) and OF Kevin Mench (to Philly). The Phils want the Brewers to include a reliever, Derrick Turnbow or Jose Capellan, although the Brewers seem hard-pressed to deal either pitcher. I'm told the Brewers would, however, move RF Geoff Jenkins.

Apparently, Melvin has become frustrated in talks with several teams (presumably, the Phillies are one of them) because he's being told any deals with Milwaukee are contingent upon the completion of other deals. The Phillies, for instance, would have to deal CF Aaron Rowand to the White Sox for RHP Freddy Garcia before they entertain any trade involving Lieber.

Does that make any sense?

I'll try to get a clearer picture before the day is out.

Dec. 5 -- WINTER MEETINGS, DAY 2

Day 2 of the Great Stakeout of the Swan & Dolphin lobby is well underway, and I can report there isn't much to report. At least on the Phillies front, everything is speculation.

While Mets GM Omar Minaya met this morning with free-agent LHP Barry Zito's agent, Scott Boras, Phillies officials huddled in front of a massive Christmas tree in the center of the lobby. Then, shortly before noon, they disappeared. Did they go for an extended lunch, or are they working on a trade?

GM Pat Gillick will meet with reporters in about 30 minutes, so I'll have more specifics then.

Meanwhile, a few of the hottest Phillies-related rumors:

* A scout told me the White Sox are "sitting pretty" with their surplus of starters, plus phenom Brendan McCarthy, whom they hope to insert into their rotation this season. GM Kenny Williams' plan is to wait until free agents like Zito, RHP Jason Schmidt and LHP Ted Lilly sign before moving one of his pitchers, likely RHP Freddy Garcia. His reasoning: Any pitching-hungry teams that don't sign a free agent will be more willing to part with better players for a White Sox pitcher.

* The Phils continue to talk with the Brewers about a deal involving RHP Jon Lieber and OF Kevin Mench. Word is that manager Charlie Manuel spent part of the morning lobbying his Brewers counterpart, Ned Yost, about RF Geoff Jenkins. The Phillies may be interested in prying both Mench and Jenkins from the Brewers, which would enable them to trade Pat Burrell and Aaron Rowand.

Dec. 4 -- MENCH TO PHILS, O'S?

Heard an intriguing rumor tonight as I was leaving the lobby of the Swan & Dolphin. Apparently, the Brewers are shopping Newark native Kevin Mench (pictured), and the Phillies and Orioles may be two of the interested teams.

As the News Journal reported two weeks ago, the Brewers and O's discussed a Mench-for-Rodrigo Lopez swap last month but didn't get especially far. It seems that deal may be revisited.

But the Phillies could get involved, too. The Brewers may have some interest in RHP Jon Lieber and may be willing to part with Mench and reliever Derrick Turnbow, a former Phillies draft pick who lost his job as Brewers closer to Francisco Cordero last season. If the Phils can get Mench and Turnbow (a possible setup man for Tom Gordon) for Lieber, they could then trade CF Aaron Rowand to the Rockies for RHP Jason Jennings or to the White Sox for RHP Freddy Garcia.

Either way, Mench coming back to play in Philly or Baltimore is a big story for us in Delaware. I'll definitely follow it up Tuesday, once I get back to the lobby.

Talk to you then.

Monday, December 04, 2006

Dec. 4 -- TRADE WINDS

Got finished a little while ago talking to GM Pat Gillick (on right in photo with manager Charlie Manuel), who is focused more on making a trade than signing any of the remaining free agents.

Gillick's plan, it seems, is two-fold: Deal a position player (Aaron Rowand?) for a pitcher (Freddy Garcia?, Jason Jennings?, a reliever?), then deal a pitcher (Jon Lieber?) for an outfielder or bullpen help.

Whatever happens, Gillick said it won't happen tonight.

A few other nuggets ...

* Like almost every other GM here, Gillick said he isn't interested in Barry Bonds. On Sammy Sosa, Gillick said, "Where are you going to play him?"

* Gillick said the Phillies scouted C Benito Santiago in winter ball in Puerto Rico but aren't interested in facilitating the 41-year-old's comeback.

* Gillick classified Mike Piazza as "an American League player." And, of the Barry Zito sweepstakes, the Phillies won't be partaking as long as Zito continues to demand a six-year contract. "I don't want to go that long on a pitcher," Gillick said. Word is the Mets will talk to Zito's agent, Scott Boras, later this week.

Dec. 4 -- MORE FROM THE MEETINGS

Pat Gillick is scheduled to speak with the Phillies reporters in about 30 minutes, so I'll make this quick.

* Rumblings around the lobby are that RHP Joe Borowski (right) is nearing a one-year deal with the Indians, pending a physical. As the Phillies can attest, that's no slam dunk. So, don't pencil him in as Cleveland's closer just yet. BTW, a writer who covers the Marlins told me Borowski was given an exit physical after the season and nothing alarming was detected in his shoulder. Hmm?

* I'm hearing that 41-year-old C Benito Santiago wants to keep playing, and a return to the Phillies may not be out of the question. Could he be someone to help mentor rookie C Carlos Ruiz and work with the Phils' young pitchers? I'll try to find out.

* More and more, it's sounding like San Francisco or nowhere for Barry Bonds. That reminds me of something I've been meaning to ask all of you: If you were a GM out there, would you sign Bonds and the distractions that he brings as he chases Hank Aaron and refutes steroid allegations?

More in a bit.

Dec. 4 -- WINTER MEETINGS, DAY 1

Hello from Orlando. The winter meetings are underway, and throughout the week, check back here for news updates and other tidbits.

For starters, I'll offer a small flavor of what these meetings are all about. The baseball world has gathered here, in the lobby of the Swan and Dolphin Resort in Walt Disney World. Well, actually, the media is gathered in the lobby. Most GMs and other baseball executives are meetings in suites at the resort.

The Phillies contingent, however, has spent most of the morning huddling at a table in the lobby. GM Pat Gillick is leading the group, but assistant GMs Ruben Amaro Jr. and Mike Arbuckle are also here. So are special advisors Dallas Green and Charley Kerfeld, scouting director Gordon Lakey, manager Charlie Manuel and bench coach Jimy Williams.

It's been a slow day, so far. Although, the Cincinnati Reds are closing in on a two-year, $5 million deal with reliever David Weathers. Pending a physical, which Weathers will reportedly take today, he is poised to re-sign with the Reds.

More later in the day.

Saturday, December 02, 2006

Dec. 2 -- FULTZ TO CLEVELAND

A few days after the Indians reached a tentative agreement with OF David Dellucci, another Phillies free agent is headed to Cleveland.

LHP Aaron Fultz has signed a one-year, $1.65 million contract. Fultz, 33, will earn a base salary of $1.5 million. The Indians hold a $1.5 million option for 2008, and if they don't pick it up, Fultz is guaranteed a $150,000 buyout. He also can earn another $350,000 in performance bonuses.

The Phillies didn't make a priority of re-signing Fultz after he struggled to a 4.54 ERA in 66 games for them last season. But he has held left-handed hitters to a .240 average during his career with the Rangers, Twins, Giants and Phillies.

"Our ability to get left-handers out has been a problem," Indians GM Mark Shapiro said. "He's a guy that has been consistently effective against left-handers."

Dec. 2 -- WHILE YOU WERE SLEEPING ...

... the deadline passed for teams to offer salary arbitration to their free agents.

As expected, the Phillies offered arbitration to OF David Dellucci, so they will receive a second-round pick and a compensatory pick between the first and second rounds if Dellucci signs elsewhere. And, pending a physical early next week, he's about to sign a three-year contract with the Cleveland Indians.

More interesting to me, however, was that the Cincinnati Reds did NOT offer arbitration to RHP David Weathers (pictured). The Phils have spoken to Weathers' agent, Dan Horwits, but decided not to present an offer before Friday's arbitration deadline. Like Dellucci, Weathers is a Type A free agent, and the Phillies did not want to relinquish a draft pick for signing the 37-year-old reliever. Since Weathers wasn't offered arbitration, the Phils won't have to worry.

The Phils' other free agents -- C Mike Lieberthal (Type A), LHP Aaron Fultz (Type A), LHP Arthur Rhodes (Type B), RHP Rick White (Type C), 1B Randall Simon (no rating) and IF Jose Hernandez (no rating) -- were not offered arbitration. Under a new rule, the Phillies can, if they want, continue negotiations with those free agents. In the past, they wouldn't have been able to re-sign those players until May 1. It doesn't appear, however, that the Phillies are interested in bringing any of them back, except for perhaps Fultz, who made $1.2 million last season and could reasonably expect to get richer in an inflated market for middle relievers.

From what I've heard, the Phillies could make an offer to Weathers in the coming days. Starting tomorrow night, I'll be at the winter meetings in Orlando, and I'll have more information on Weathers and other possible Phillies moves in the News Journal and with live updates at www.delawareonline.com.

For now, here's more information on Weathers, including a story from the Cincinnati Post on the Reds' desire to bring him back.